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While the changing weather, diminishing rainfall and soaring temperatures always make it into the news on an annual basis, the fear of an imminent natural calamity such as a drought or heat wave looms large over the entire population all through the year. It has become habitual for elders to share memories of the past when the weather used to be much more ‘greener and milder’. But according to K Santhosh, Director of Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), statistics have failed to show any considerable variation with the climatic conditions over the years. However, even though the mean values remain the same, occasional
turbulence in weather conditions like unseasonal rainfalls and unnatural
heat waves have shown a rise during recent years. The phenomenon of
global warming is very real and it is affecting climatic conditions
worldwide, says K Santhosh. |
Yet it has to be remembered that there is always an ‘inherent
variability within the system’; so a sudden change in the weather on a
particular day can’t be termed as a global variation in weather
conditions. In other words, a variation in the local parameters does not
pose much of an influence over the global parameters. The significance
of this point comes into perspective when considering the supposedly
steep rise in temperatures in city areas during the summer months of
March – May. Trivandrum had recorded its highest temperature of 38
degree Celsius in the year 2007.
“The South West monsoon which happens during the months of June –
September is characterized by carpet like cloud formations which are
large and continuous. Typically, during the South West monsoon, there
would be a period extending for seven to ten days followed y a lull of
four to five days. But during the North East monsoon, or receding
monsoon season, between the months of October- December, the cloud
formation is essentially ‘cumulonimbus’ which is a locally developing
cloud formation which would cover an area of only about 10 sq km and
last for a maximum of 2-3 hours. That accounts for the localized showers
which cover one particular area within the city while the surrounding
area is dry.” |
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